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How Trump’s “Big Bill” Could Reshape Senior Housing

& Why SLF’s Private-Pay Strategy Is Well Positioned

Closeup of the documents of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA), a budget reconciliation bill in the 119th United States Congress.
Image Source: Getty Images

As discussions intensify around Trump’s recently proposed “One Big Beautiful Bill,” much of the senior housing industry is bracing for potential turbulence. The bill outlines major policy shifts—including reduced Medicaid funding, tighter eligibility requirements, and proposed cuts to HUD housing assistance—that could deeply affect operators and investors across the sector.

For investors and operators who rely on public-pay models, these changes may introduce significant uncertainty. But at SLF Investments, we believe our strategy is inherently more insulated from these risks. Here’s why:

The Policy Landscape: A Quick Look at the Big Bill

While the bill covers a wide range of reforms, several provisions are especially relevant to the senior housing industry:

  • Medicaid cuts and work requirements: Could pressure nursing homes and low-income assisted living facilities that depend on reimbursements.
  • Reduced HUD funding and voucher restrictions: May disrupt affordable senior housing communities and increase resident displacement risk.
  • Limited expansion of low-income housing tax credits (LIHTC): Opens new opportunities for affordable housing developers but does little to address middle- or upper-market needs.

These measures could further strain an already underbuilt system, especially for lower-income seniors.

Public-Pay Operators May Face Structural Challenges

For senior housing communities that rely on Medicaid reimbursements or government-subsidized housing vouchers, the proposed bill could have severe ripple effects:

  • Operators may experience declining reimbursements, longer delays in funding, and tighter eligibility rules for incoming residents
  • Skilled nursing and assisted living communities with high Medicaid census may be forced to reduce services, shrink staff, or raise private rates to remain viable
  • Affordable housing projects may encounter increased resident turnover as housing assistance programs shrink, creating potential instability for investors in those segments

How SLF’s Investment Strategy Offers Protection

At SLF, our focus is on private-pay, professionally managed senior housing communities. These communities cater to seniors and families who are not reliant on government programs like Medicaid or HUD subsidies to fund their care.

Key reasons why we’re well-positioned:

  • Private-pay residents: Our properties are largely filled by residents paying out-of-pocket or with long-term care insurance, reducing our exposure to reimbursement volatility.
  • Institutional-grade operators: We partner with experienced third-party operators who understand the evolving regulatory environment and can adapt to shifting policies.
  • Geographic diversification: SLF invests across the U.S., allowing us to strategically balance exposure and select markets best aligned with private-pay demand.
SLF Investment Community - Fountain Valley, CA

Policy Turbulence May Actually Highlight Our Strengths

If the “Big Bill” passes in full or in part, it could have two unexpected effects that benefit private-pay senior housing investors:

  1. Investor Migration: Institutional and private investors may shift capital away from Medicaid-dependent facilities toward private-pay communities that offer predictable revenue and insulation from policy risk.
  2. Heightened Demand: As government programs become harder to access, many families will turn to the private market—fueling continued demand for well-operated, mid- and upper-tier communities.

In either case, SLF is well positioned to serve both the market and its investors through a strategy designed for long-term demographic alignment rather than short-term policy dependency.

Stay Ahead of the Curve

The senior housing recovery isn’t just a headline — it’s a trend with real staying power.
To learn more about how SLF is navigating this growth cycle and helping investors capitalize on it:

👉 Explore our current portfolio
👉 Read our July 2025 investor newsletter
👉 Get in touch with our investor relations team